The Daily Variety ShowBiz Expo, held at the Los Angeles Convention Center,
      June 22-24, 2000 can be critiqued best by comparing it with the one held
      the year before.
      
        - Both the number of vendors and the floor space were smaller by
          40%.  Last year's had a very large separate room that had a lot
          of smaller mom-and-pop vendors.  This year's had only the biggest
          players- all in the main hall.
 
        - Sony's 24P camera, Panavision lenses, and a 24P-based projection
          systems replaced the presentation area occupied last year by Kodak,
          which was nowhere to be found at this year's event.  Last year,
          you could sit down in a screening area and see demonstrations of
          different types of Kodak film stock.  This year the digital
          revolution took over.  With FilmFX plug-ins available for your
          favorite non-linear editing system, having a film-look can be as
          specific as you want it to be -  but, you can decide after you
          shoot - in post!  The writing is on the wall for Kodak. 
          Perhaps that's why they didn't even show up.  Panavision has
          adapted their 35mm film lenses to the Sony 24P camera and will survive
          the transition.  Major rental houses are already stocking Sony's
          24P cameras.  Once digital projection systems become common
          (prediction - two years), distributors will deliver their films
          digitally.  If film is not used in shooting and not used for
          prints,  Kodak may find itself with no presence in the film
          community beyond owning the building where the Oscars are held.  Perhaps they will buyout Lexmark and become a bigger
          player in the inkjet printer business, which will continue to prosper
          as digital still cameras get more affordable and archive inks more
          common.  Kodak buying the Pantone company and gaining licensing
          revenues during what will be a very colorful decade - may be worth
          considering.
 
        - Nowhere to be found were some vendors from last year that are
          players in the non-linear editing arena:
          
            - Adobe (Premiere and AfterEffects)
 
            - Apple (FinalCut Pro)
 
            - Maya
 
            - Autodesk 
 
            - ProMax, the Orange County vendor of turn-key Apple non-linear
              systems, a big hit in 1999, no aqui. I bet they are cranking out
              so many G4-based systems that there was little advantage in
              attending.
 
            - Play, who makes the Trinity system, were not present.  Last
              year they demonstrated a wonderful live blue-screen broadcast
              capability.   Maybe they are putting their marketing
              dollars into the Webcasting tradeshows.
 
           
         
        - Scaled down presence - Avid.   From their last 52-week
          dismal stock performance and their market share erosion, due to Apple
          FinalCut Pro and Adobe Premiere continued successes, I predict that
          Adobe will buy out Avid within the next 12 months.  Adobe needs
          the high-end and no one will buy Avid PC or Mac-based products when
          they can buy FinalCut Pro that includes a lot of the same powerful
          features - but, at a tenth of the cost.  My guess is that Adobe
          will buy it and call it Premiere Pro and sell it at the price of
          FinalCut Pro.  
 
        - Movie Magic, who used to have a great Screenwriter 3.0 to Budget and
          Scheduling path, sold their budget and scheduling modules (as well as
          their trademark, in those instances) to Creative Planet, who have
          turned it into an Internet-based hosting service using Adobe Acrobat
          PDF files.  Their subscription license model of $299 per year and
          their hosting services change the nature of the product to the point
          of being great for studio heads who want to see how the shoot is going
          cost-wise, but it's terrible for the independent producer who has a
          Movie Magic Screenwriter script and wants to import it into a Budget
          and Scheduling module.  It use to have easy integration
          capabilities that reduced  problems that came about when the
          script changes.  This loss of ability is a huge step backwards
          for what I see as little gain, especially considering the yearly
          license expense and the awkward PDF format.  At least they could
          have stayed HTML.  Oh, well. 
 
        - There was a huge blue-screen demonstration area that was always
          active.  People stood still and in front of the blue-screen and
          were compositted into a scene behind a pulpit in a church. 
          Printouts of the rendered images were given to the participants.
 
        - Mole Richardson had an expanded display of XL1 filter sets. 
 
        - There was a dolly tracking system that one vendor displayed that
          consisted of a camera dolly on angled rollers and a long and carefully
          placed black tube (in parallel), that made for an easy rolled-up rail.  Makes
          me want to go to Home Depot and and see what I can whip up.
 
        - Monster.com, the behemoth online employment service was here this
          year in a very big way.  As the film industry spans more and more
          of the world, below-the-line production people are joining the ranks
          of all other groups and are being handled by companies like
          Monster.com.  There were also a few other similar services vying
          for share of mind.  Monster.com had by far the biggest booth/show
          area.  
 
       
      ShowBiz Expo, while fun and educational, presented no new whamo
      offerings.  It did however restate in demonstrations what we already
      may have gathered from statements by Mike Figgis ("Time Code")
      as well as George Lucas (regarding the next "Star Wars"), that
      digital video shooting is here and relevant for film production.   
      At next year's event, I hope to see the non-linear players back with
      larger presentation areas.  If these vendors don't return, ShowBiz
      Expo will be a show for expendables, cranes, camera and lighting demos, location commissioners. and
      honey wagons -  something that will surely reduce the attendance to
      the most important film business event of the year.   Credit
      continues to go to Daily Variety for putting in the effort to make it as
      good as it is.  I'm looking forward to next year's
      already.   See you there. 
        
      James E. Tessier 
      Surfview.com editor 
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